Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Caudal
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Sporting Gijón II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.3 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
25%
Draw
22%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caudal wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Gijón II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
86%
53%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
25%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
Caudal
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sporting Gijón II
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caudal | Sporting Gijón II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Caudal
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Sporting Gijón II
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Sporting Gijón II |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Caudal |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caudal face Sporting Gijón II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2. Caudal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Sporting Gijón II have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
Sporting Gijón II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sporting Gijón II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 25% win probability for Caudal, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Sporting Gijón II. Our top recommended betting pick is Sporting Gijón II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
