Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Pozuelo Alarcón
Home
4-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Alcobendas Sport
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
28%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pozuelo Alarcón wins
0
Draws
0
Alcobendas Sport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
41%
33%
Attack
16%
46%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Pozuelo Alarcón
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Alcobendas Sport
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Alcobendas Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Pozuelo Alarcón
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
17%
Behind
17%
Alcobendas Sport
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Pozuelo Alarcón |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |
Alcobendas Sport |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pozuelo Alarcón face Alcobendas Sport in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Pozuelo Alarcón have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Alcobendas Sport have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 54% probability backing Pozuelo Alarcón, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pozuelo Alarcón to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Pozuelo Alarcón, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Alcobendas Sport. Our top recommended betting pick is Pozuelo Alarcón Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
