Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Unión Adarve
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Móstoles
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
34%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.71
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Unión Adarve wins
0
Draws
0
Móstoles wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
41%
46%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
Unión Adarve
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Móstoles
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Unión Adarve | Móstoles | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Unión Adarve
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Móstoles
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Móstoles |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 20 |
| 5 |
Unión Adarve |
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Unión Adarve face Móstoles in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Unión Adarve have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Móstoles have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With evenly matched metrics (29% vs 37%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Unión Adarve, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for Móstoles. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.71 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
