Who is predicted to win Utrecht vs Willem II?

Our statistical models project a 91% win probability for Utrecht, 5% for a draw, and 2% for Willem II. The recommended betting pick is Utrecht or Draw.

What is the scoreline prediction for Utrecht vs Willem II?

Based on expected goals (xG) analysis, our algorithm forecasts a competitive contest with an average total goal expectancy of 2.5 goals. Detailed score analysis is available in the preview.

Where can I get free betting tips for Utrecht vs Willem II?

AfriPredictions offers free mathematical tips for Utrecht vs Willem II across 1X2, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 goals, and Double Chance markets.

Utrecht vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips — 11 Oct 2026

Q: When and where is Utrecht vs Willem II played?

The match kicks off on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:15 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard in the Eredivisie.

Our Prediction ☆ confidence

Recommended tip

Home Win @ 1.29

Predicted score

3 - 0

Goal expectancy (xG)

2.88 - 0.54

Win probability

Home

91%

Draw

5%

Away

2%

Predictions by market

Match Result (1X2)

1

73% 1.29

Double Chance

No tip for this market.

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

69% 1.36

Both Teams To Score

No tip for this market.

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5

75% 1.25

Goals & trends

69%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS

75%

Over 1.5

3.42

Avg goals

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Recent form: last 5 games

Utr Utrecht

L D D W L

1-2-2

W-D-L

9:16

Goals

1

PPG

Wil Willem II

L L D L L

0-1-4

W-D-L

3:14

Goals

0.2

PPG

Head-to-head

0

Utrecht wins

0

Draws

0

Willem II wins

No previous meetings between these teams on record.

Why this prediction

33% Recent form 6%

60% Attack 20%

5% Defence 6%

50% Head-to-head 50%

91% Win probability 5%

Team news

Utrecht

A. Engwanda · Hamstring Injury
V. Jensen · Knee Injury
M. Jonathans · Knee Injury
N. Ohio · Knee Injury
K. Paredes · Knee Injury
A. Stepanov · Ankle Injury
O. Agougil · Health problems
N. Vesterlund · Injury

Willem II

No absences reported.

Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Utr Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14	25	-11	8
18	Wil Willem II	8	0	2	6	7	23	-16	2

Full table →

Match Preview & Analysis

Utrecht face Willem II in Eredivisie. Utrecht have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 16 (1 points per game). Willem II have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).

There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.

With a 91% probability backing Utrecht, home advantage and superior chance creation make Utrecht to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema

Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Utrecht, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Willem II. Our top recommended betting pick is Utrecht Win (1).

The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.

BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:15 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard as part of the Eredivisie.

Find your best fit Highest-confidence model picks