Eredivisie · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Utrecht
Home
10:15
d ::
Stadion Galgenwaard
Willem II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Utrecht wins
0
Draws
0
Willem II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
6%
60%
Attack
20%
5%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Team news
Utrecht
- O. Agougil · Health problems
- A. Engwanda · Hamstring Injury
- V. Jensen · Knee Injury
- M. Jonathans · Knee Injury
- N. Ohio · Knee Injury
- K. Paredes · Inactive
- N. Vesterlund · Injury
- J. van Overeem · Inactive
Willem II
- A. Culum · Foot Injury
- A. Lachkar · Groin Injury
- T. Didillon Hodl · Hamstring Injury
- K. Boogaard · Knock
- J. Hoogma · Knee Injury
- V. van Crooij · Ankle Injury
- J. Schuurman · Knock
- A. Zarrouk · Surgery
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Utr Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | Wil Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Utrecht face Willem II in Eredivisie. Utrecht have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 16 (1 points per game). Willem II have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Utrecht, home advantage and superior chance creation make Utrecht to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Utrecht, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Willem II. Our top recommended betting pick is Utrecht Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:15 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard as part of the Eredivisie.
