Virsliga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Ogre United
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
BFC Daugavpils
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
20%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ogre United wins
0
Draws
2
BFC Daugavpils wins
14 Aug 2026
BFC Daugavpils
3 - 1
Ogre United
19 Jul 2026
Ogre United
0 - 4
BFC Daugavpils
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
13%
26%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
26%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
Ogre United
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
BFC Daugavpils
last 8 away from home
1W
4D
3L
0.88
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ogre United | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Ogre United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
BFC Daugavpils
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ogre United face BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga. Ogre United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). BFC Daugavpils have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Ogre United won 0, BFC Daugavpils won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
BFC Daugavpils's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for BFC Daugavpils to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Ogre United, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for BFC Daugavpils. Our top recommended betting pick is BFC Daugavpils Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Virsliga.
