1. Division · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Minsk II
Home
0-2
Full time
Stadium FC Minsk
Smorgon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Minsk II wins
0
Draws
0
Smorgon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Minsk II
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Smorgon
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Minsk II | Smorgon | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Minsk II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Smorgon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Smorgon |
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 |
Minsk II |
30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | -16 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Minsk II face Smorgon in 1. Division. Minsk II have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game). Smorgon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Minsk II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Minsk II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Minsk II, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Smorgon. Our top recommended betting pick is Minsk II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadium FC Minsk as part of the 1. Division.
