Virsliga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Rīgas FS
Home
4-2
Full time
Bislett Stadium
FS Jelgava
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
8%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
2
Rīgas FS wins
0
Draws
0
FS Jelgava wins
20 Jul 2026
FS Jelgava
0 - 1
Rīgas FS
12 Jul 2026
Rīgas FS
2 - 0
FS Jelgava
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
66%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Rīgas FS
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
FS Jelgava
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 7/10 70% |
At half time
Rīgas FS
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
FS Jelgava
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
30%
Behind
70%
Match Preview & Analysis
Rīgas FS face FS Jelgava in Virsliga. Rīgas FS have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). FS Jelgava have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Rīgas FS won 2, FS Jelgava won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Rīgas FS, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rīgas FS to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Rīgas FS, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for FS Jelgava. Our top recommended betting pick is Rīgas FS Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Bislett Stadium as part of the Virsliga.
