III Liga - Group 4 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Hetman Zamosc
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Czarni Połaniec
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
21%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hetman Zamosc wins
0
Draws
0
Czarni Połaniec wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
60%
6%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Hetman Zamosc
last 7 at home
2W
4D
1L
1.43
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Czarni Połaniec
last 6 away from home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hetman Zamosc | Czarni Połaniec | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Hetman Zamosc
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Czarni Połaniec
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Hetman Zamosc |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 29 |
| 6 |
Czarni Połaniec |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 28 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hetman Zamosc face Czarni Połaniec in III Liga - Group 4. Hetman Zamosc have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 14 (1 points per game). Czarni Połaniec have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Hetman Zamosc, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hetman Zamosc to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Hetman Zamosc, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Czarni Połaniec. Our top recommended betting pick is Hetman Zamosc Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
