Segunda Liga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Farense
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio de São Luís
Feirense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
11%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Farense wins
0
Draws
0
Feirense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
5%
46%
Attack
6%
80%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Farense
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Feirense
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.40
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Farense | Feirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 7/9 78% |
At half time
Farense
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Feirense
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Farense face Feirense in Segunda Liga. Farense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Feirense have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 8 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 86% probability backing Farense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Farense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Farense, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Feirense. Our top recommended betting pick is Farense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio de São Luís as part of the Segunda Liga.
