1. Lig · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Fatih Karagümrük
Home
1-1
Full time
Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium
Muğlaspor
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
30%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fatih Karagümrük wins
0
Draws
0
Muğlaspor wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Fatih Karagümrük
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Muğlaspor
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Fatih Karagümrük | Muğlaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Fatih Karagümrük
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Muğlaspor
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
63%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Fatih Karagümrük |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 |
Muğlaspor |
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fatih Karagümrük face Muğlaspor in 1. Lig. Fatih Karagümrük have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Muğlaspor have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Muğlaspor's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Muğlaspor to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Fatih Karagümrük, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Muğlaspor. Our top recommended betting pick is Muğlaspor Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium as part of the 1. Lig.
