Liga 3 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Guimaraes B
Home
0-1
Full time
Academia Vitoria SC
Pacos Ferreira
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guimaraes B wins
0
Draws
0
Pacos Ferreira wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
13%
26%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Guimaraes B
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Pacos Ferreira
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Guimaraes B | Pacos Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Guimaraes B
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Pacos Ferreira
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
43%
Behind
57%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Pacos Ferreira |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes B |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guimaraes B face Pacos Ferreira in Liga 3. Guimaraes B have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Pacos Ferreira have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Guimaraes B, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guimaraes B to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Guimaraes B, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Pacos Ferreira. Our top recommended betting pick is Guimaraes B Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC as part of the Liga 3.
