Serie D - Girone A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Alessandria
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta
Fezzanese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alessandria wins
0
Draws
0
Fezzanese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Alessandria
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Fezzanese
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Alessandria | Fezzanese | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 100% 6/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 100% 6/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Alessandria
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Fezzanese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alessandria |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 27 |
| 13 |
Fezzanese |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alessandria face Fezzanese in Serie D - Girone A. Alessandria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Fezzanese have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 56% probability backing Alessandria, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alessandria to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Alessandria, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Fezzanese. Our top recommended betting pick is Alessandria Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta as part of the Serie D - Girone A.
