Serie D - Girone A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sestri Levante
Home
1-1
Full time
Giuseppe Sivori
Celle Varazze
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
22%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sestri Levante wins
0
Draws
0
Celle Varazze wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
5%
26%
Attack
6%
60%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Sestri Levante
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Celle Varazze
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Sestri Levante | Celle Varazze | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 5/6 83% |
At half time
Sestri Levante
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Celle Varazze
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Sestri Levante |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 |
Celle Varazze |
10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sestri Levante face Celle Varazze in Serie D - Girone A. Sestri Levante have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Celle Varazze have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 12 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 68% probability backing Sestri Levante, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sestri Levante to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Sestri Levante, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Celle Varazze. Our top recommended betting pick is Sestri Levante Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori as part of the Serie D - Girone A.
