Serie D - Girone B · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Leon
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Pavonese
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leon wins
0
Draws
0
Pavonese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Leon
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Pavonese
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leon | Pavonese | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Leon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Pavonese
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leon face Pavonese in Serie D - Girone B. Leon have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Pavonese have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Leon, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Pavonese. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone B.
