Serie D - Girone C · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Luparense
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Este
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
17%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Luparense wins
0
Draws
0
Este wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
20%
73%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Luparense
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Este
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Luparense | Este | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Luparense
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Este
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Luparense face Este in Serie D - Girone C. Luparense have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game). Este have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With a 80% probability backing Luparense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Luparense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Luparense, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Este. Our top recommended betting pick is Luparense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone C.
