Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
CastrumFavara
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Igea Virtus
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.3 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
25%
Draw
21%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CastrumFavara wins
0
Draws
0
Igea Virtus wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
86%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
25%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
CastrumFavara
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Igea Virtus
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 6/6 100% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
CastrumFavara
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Igea Virtus
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Igea Virtus |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 13 |
CastrumFavara |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CastrumFavara face Igea Virtus in Serie D - Girone I. CastrumFavara have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Igea Virtus have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 9 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
Igea Virtus's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Igea Virtus to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 25% win probability for CastrumFavara, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Igea Virtus. Our top recommended betting pick is Igea Virtus Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone I.
