Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Gela
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Milazzo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
32%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gela wins
0
Draws
0
Milazzo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Gela
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Milazzo
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Gela | Milazzo | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Gela
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
Milazzo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gela face Milazzo in Serie D - Girone I. Gela have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Milazzo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 47% probability backing Gela, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gela to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Gela, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Milazzo. Our top recommended betting pick is Gela Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone I.
