Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Castellanzese
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Arconatese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castellanzese wins
0
Draws
0
Arconatese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
13%
60%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Castellanzese
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Arconatese
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Castellanzese | Arconatese | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Castellanzese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Arconatese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
0%
Behind
80%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Castellanzese |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 17 |
Arconatese |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castellanzese face Arconatese in Serie D - Girone D. Castellanzese have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Arconatese have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 93% probability backing Castellanzese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castellanzese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Castellanzese, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Arconatese. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellanzese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
