Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Cittadella Vis Modena
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
USD Casatese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cittadella Vis Modena wins
0
Draws
0
USD Casatese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
40%
93%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Cittadella Vis Modena
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
USD Casatese
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Cittadella Vis Modena | USD Casatese | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Cittadella Vis Modena
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
USD Casatese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
USD Casatese |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 |
Cittadella Vis Modena |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Cittadella Vis Modena face USD Casatese in Serie D - Girone D. Cittadella Vis Modena have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). USD Casatese have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 62% probability backing Cittadella Vis Modena, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cittadella Vis Modena to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Cittadella Vis Modena, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for USD Casatese. Our top recommended betting pick is Cittadella Vis Modena Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
