Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Lentigione
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Pontedera
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lentigione wins
0
Draws
0
Pontedera wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
5%
40%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Lentigione
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Pontedera
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Lentigione | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Lentigione
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Pontedera
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
0%
Behind
80%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Lentigione |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 15 |
Pontedera |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lentigione face Pontedera in Serie D - Girone D. Lentigione have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Pontedera have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 15 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 92% probability backing Lentigione, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lentigione to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Lentigione, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Pontedera. Our top recommended betting pick is Lentigione Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
