Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Pistoiese
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Correggese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pistoiese wins
0
Draws
0
Correggese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
80%
Attack
46%
86%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Pistoiese
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Correggese
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Pistoiese | Correggese | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 5/5 100% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Pistoiese
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Correggese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pistoiese |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 12 |
Correggese |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pistoiese face Correggese in Serie D - Girone D. Pistoiese have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Correggese have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 93% probability backing Pistoiese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pistoiese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Pistoiese, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Correggese. Our top recommended betting pick is Pistoiese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
