Serie D - Girone D · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Città di Varese
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Oltrepò
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
13%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Città di Varese wins
0
Draws
0
Oltrepò wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
25%
46%
Attack
25%
33%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Città di Varese
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Oltrepò
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Città di Varese | Oltrepò | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Città di Varese
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Oltrepò
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Città di Varese |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 18 |
Oltrepò |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Città di Varese face Oltrepò in Serie D - Girone D. Città di Varese have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Oltrepò have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 83% probability backing Città di Varese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Città di Varese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Città di Varese, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Oltrepò. Our top recommended betting pick is Città di Varese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone D.
