Serie D - Girone E · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Progresso
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Robur Siena
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.46
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
6%
Away
89%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Progresso wins
0
Draws
0
Robur Siena wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
80%
26%
Attack
86%
13%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
89%
Home and away record
Progresso
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Robur Siena
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Progresso | Robur Siena | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Progresso
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
0%
Behind
80%
Robur Siena
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Robur Siena |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 18 |
Progresso |
10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Progresso face Robur Siena in Serie D - Girone E. Progresso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). Robur Siena have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Robur Siena's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 89% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Robur Siena to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Progresso, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 89% probability for Robur Siena. Our top recommended betting pick is Robur Siena Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone E.
