Serie D - Girone H · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Nocerina
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Brindisi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
11%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nocerina wins
0
Draws
0
Brindisi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Nocerina
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Brindisi
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Nocerina | Brindisi | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Nocerina
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Brindisi
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nocerina face Brindisi in Serie D - Girone H. Nocerina have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game). Brindisi have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 80% probability backing Nocerina, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nocerina to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Nocerina, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Brindisi. Our top recommended betting pick is Nocerina Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone H.
