Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Fossombrone
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Termoli Calcio
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
33%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.78
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fossombrone wins
0
Draws
0
Termoli Calcio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Fossombrone
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Termoli Calcio
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Fossombrone | Termoli Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Fossombrone
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Termoli Calcio
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Fossombrone |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |
Termoli Calcio |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fossombrone face Termoli Calcio in Serie D - Girone F. Fossombrone have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Termoli Calcio have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 46% probability backing Fossombrone, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fossombrone to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Fossombrone, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Termoli Calcio. Our top recommended betting pick is Fossombrone Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.78 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
