Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Vigor Senigallia
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Atletico Ascoli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vigor Senigallia wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Ascoli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
93%
Attack
20%
33%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Vigor Senigallia
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Atletico Ascoli
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Vigor Senigallia
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Atletico Ascoli
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Vigor Senigallia |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 |
Atletico Ascoli |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vigor Senigallia face Atletico Ascoli in Serie D - Girone F. Vigor Senigallia have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 10 (2.4 points per game). Atletico Ascoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Vigor Senigallia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vigor Senigallia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Vigor Senigallia, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Atletico Ascoli. Our top recommended betting pick is Vigor Senigallia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
