Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Vigor Senigallia
Home
13:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Atletico Ascoli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vigor Senigallia wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Ascoli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
46%
95%
Attack
26%
25%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vig Vigor Senigallia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl Atletico Ascoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vigor Senigallia face Atletico Ascoli in Serie D - Girone F. Vigor Senigallia have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 12 and conceding 9 (2.25 points per game). Atletico Ascoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Vigor Senigallia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vigor Senigallia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Vigor Senigallia, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Atletico Ascoli. Our top recommended betting pick is Vigor Senigallia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
