Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Paganese
Home
3-0
Full time
Stadio Marcello Torre
Budoni
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.5 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
75%
Draw
11%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paganese wins
0
Draws
0
Budoni wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
75%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Paganese
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Budoni
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Paganese | Budoni | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Paganese
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Budoni
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Paganese face Budoni in Serie D - Girone G. Paganese have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Budoni have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 75% probability backing Paganese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Paganese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 75% win probability for Paganese, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Budoni. Our top recommended betting pick is Paganese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Marcello Torre as part of the Serie D - Girone G.
