Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Afragolese
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
34%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.72
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sarrabus Ogliastra wins
0
Draws
0
Afragolese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
13%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Sarrabus Ogliastra
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Afragolese
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Afragolese | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Sarrabus Ogliastra
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Afragolese
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Afragolese |
11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 15 |
Sarrabus Ogliastra |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sarrabus Ogliastra face Afragolese in Serie D - Girone G. Sarrabus Ogliastra have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Afragolese have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With evenly matched metrics (32% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Afragolese. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.72 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone G.
