Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Home
13:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Afragolese
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
34%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.72
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sarrabus Ogliastra wins
0
Draws
0
Afragolese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
41%
25%
Attack
41%
66%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
34%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Afr Afragolese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Sar Sarrabus Ogliastra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sarrabus Ogliastra face Afragolese in Serie D - Girone G. Sarrabus Ogliastra have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Afragolese have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With evenly matched metrics (32% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Afragolese. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.72 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone G.
