National Soccer League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sunrise
Home
1-0
Full time
Nyagatare Stadium
Police
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
58%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sunrise wins
0
Draws
0
Police wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
16%
Attack
26%
83%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Sunrise
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Police
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sunrise | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Sunrise
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Police
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sunrise face Police in National Soccer League. Sunrise have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1 points per game). Police have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With evenly matched metrics (23% vs 19%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Sunrise, a 58% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Police. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Nyagatare Stadium as part of the National Soccer League.
