Premier League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Mbarara City
Home
2-1
Full time
Rwamwanja stadium
Blacks Power
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
50%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
24%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mbarara City wins
0
Draws
0
Blacks Power wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
60%
5%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Mbarara City
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Blacks Power
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Mbarara City | Blacks Power | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/4 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 100% 4/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Mbarara City
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Blacks Power
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Blacks Power |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |
Mbarara City |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mbarara City face Blacks Power in Premier League. Mbarara City have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2 (0.5 points per game). Blacks Power have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 24% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With evenly matched metrics (20% vs 31%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Mbarara City, a 50% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Blacks Power. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Rwamwanja stadium as part of the Premier League.
