Liga 3 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Atlético CP
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Caldas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
19%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético CP wins
0
Draws
0
Caldas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
93%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Atlético CP
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Caldas
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Atlético CP | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Atlético CP
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Caldas
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético CP face Caldas in Liga 3. Atlético CP have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Caldas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Atlético CP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atlético CP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Atlético CP, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Caldas. Our top recommended betting pick is Atlético CP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
