Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sousense
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Estrela Calheta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
27%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Sousense v Estrela Calheta pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sousense wins
0
Draws
0
Estrela Calheta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
8%
26%
Attack
8%
33%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Sousense
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Estrela Calheta
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sousense | Estrela Calheta | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Sousense
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Estrela Calheta
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
25%
Behind
75%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sousense face Estrela Calheta in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B. Sousense have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game). Estrela Calheta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 9 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 55% probability backing Sousense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sousense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Sousense, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Estrela Calheta. Our top recommended betting pick is Sousense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
