Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Fátima
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Nazarenos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fátima wins
0
Draws
0
Nazarenos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
5%
80%
Attack
6%
60%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Fátima
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Nazarenos
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Fátima | Nazarenos | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
Fátima
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Nazarenos
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fátima face Nazarenos in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. Fátima have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Nazarenos have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 13 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 92% probability backing Fátima, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fátima to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Fátima, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Nazarenos. Our top recommended betting pick is Fátima Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
