Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
O Elvas
Home
1-2
Full time
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
UD da Serra
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
10%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
O Elvas wins
0
Draws
0
UD da Serra wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
73%
86%
Attack
86%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
O Elvas
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
UD da Serra
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| O Elvas | UD da Serra | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
O Elvas
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
UD da Serra
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
O Elvas face UD da Serra in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. O Elvas have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). UD da Serra have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 80% probability backing O Elvas, home advantage and superior chance creation make O Elvas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for O Elvas, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for UD da Serra. Our top recommended betting pick is O Elvas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
