Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Os Marialvas
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Sertanense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
7%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Os Marialvas wins
0
Draws
0
Sertanense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
16%
80%
Attack
25%
86%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Os Marialvas
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sertanense
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Os Marialvas | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 86% 6/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Os Marialvas
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Sertanense
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Os Marialvas face Sertanense in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. Os Marialvas have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Sertanense have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 90% probability backing Os Marialvas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Os Marialvas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Os Marialvas, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Sertanense. Our top recommended betting pick is Os Marialvas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
