Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Subiza
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Bidezarra
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Subiza wins
0
Draws
0
Bidezarra wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
16%
66%
Attack
8%
20%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Subiza
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Bidezarra
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Subiza | Bidezarra | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 5/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Subiza
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
0%
Behind
25%
Bidezarra
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Subiza face Bidezarra in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15. Subiza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Bidezarra have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 7 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Subiza, home advantage and superior chance creation make Subiza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Subiza, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Bidezarra. Our top recommended betting pick is Subiza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
