Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Berceo
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
La Calzada
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
16%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Berceo wins
0
Draws
0
La Calzada wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
80%
95%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Berceo
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
7.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
La Calzada
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Berceo | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Berceo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
La Calzada
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Berceo face La Calzada in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Berceo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2.25 points per game). La Calzada have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With a 67% probability backing Berceo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Berceo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Berceo, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for La Calzada. Our top recommended betting pick is Berceo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
