Segunda División · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Almeria
Home
3-0
Full time
UD Almería Stadium
Leganes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
11%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Almeria wins
0
Draws
0
Leganes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Almeria
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Leganes
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Almeria | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Almeria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Leganes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Almeria face Leganes in Segunda División. Almeria have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Leganes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 86% probability backing Almeria, home advantage and superior chance creation make Almeria to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Almeria, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Leganes. Our top recommended betting pick is Almeria Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:15 (East Africa Time) at UD Almería Stadium as part of the Segunda División.
