Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Aretxabaleta
Home
14:30
d ::
Venue TBC
Pasaia KE
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
36%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.7
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aretxabaleta wins
0
Draws
0
Pasaia KE wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
58%
25%
Attack
41%
91%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
19%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aretxabaleta face Pasaia KE in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Aretxabaleta have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). Pasaia KE have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 45% probability backing Aretxabaleta, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aretxabaleta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Aretxabaleta, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Pasaia KE. Our top recommended betting pick is Aretxabaleta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.7 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
