Eliteserien · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Aalesund
Home
2-4
Full time
Color Line Stadion
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
16%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aalesund wins
0
Draws
0
Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Aalesund
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Sarpsborg 08 FF
last 7 away from home
2W
4D
1L
1.43
points a game
1.29
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Aalesund
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF |
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 |
Aalesund |
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Aalesund face Sarpsborg 08 FF in Eliteserien. Aalesund have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 70% probability backing Aalesund, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aalesund to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Aalesund, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Our top recommended betting pick is Aalesund Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion as part of the Eliteserien.
