Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Arenas Armilla
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Malaga City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Arenas Armilla wins
0
Draws
0
Malaga City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
5%
41%
Attack
25%
91%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Arenas Armilla
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Malaga City
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Arenas Armilla | Malaga City | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Arenas Armilla
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Malaga City
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Arenas Armilla |
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 18 |
Malaga City |
9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Arenas Armilla face Malaga City in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Arenas Armilla have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (2.5 points per game). Malaga City have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 92% probability backing Arenas Armilla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Arenas Armilla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Arenas Armilla, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Malaga City. Our top recommended betting pick is Arenas Armilla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
