Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Mancha Real
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Torre del Mar
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
46%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
25%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.44
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mancha Real wins
0
Draws
0
Torre del Mar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
8%
Recent form
33%
8%
Attack
25%
50%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Mancha Real
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Torre del Mar
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Mancha Real | Torre del Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Mancha Real
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Torre del Mar
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Torre del Mar |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Mancha Real |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mancha Real face Torre del Mar in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Mancha Real have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.25 points per game). Torre del Mar have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 25% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With evenly matched metrics (24% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Mancha Real, a 46% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Torre del Mar. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.44 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
