Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Melilla
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
UD San Pedro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Melilla wins
0
Draws
0
UD San Pedro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Melilla
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
UD San Pedro
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Melilla | UD San Pedro | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Melilla
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
UD San Pedro
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Melilla face UD San Pedro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Melilla have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). UD San Pedro have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Melilla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Melilla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Melilla, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for UD San Pedro. Our top recommended betting pick is Melilla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
