Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Melilla
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
UD San Pedro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Melilla wins
0
Draws
0
UD San Pedro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mel Melilla | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 | UD UD San Pedro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Melilla face UD San Pedro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Melilla have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). UD San Pedro have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Melilla, home advantage and superior chance creation make Melilla to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Melilla, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for UD San Pedro. Our top recommended betting pick is Melilla Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
