Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Cenicero
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
San Marcial
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.19
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
38%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
43%
2.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.61
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cenicero wins
0
Draws
0
San Marcial wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
50%
33%
Attack
25%
66%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
33%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Cenicero
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
San Marcial
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Cenicero | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Cenicero
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
San Marcial
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cenicero face San Marcial in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Cenicero have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.25 points per game). San Marcial have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With evenly matched metrics (33% vs 28%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Cenicero, a 38% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for San Marcial. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.61 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
