Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Ciudad de Lucena
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Don Benito
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ciudad de Lucena wins
0
Draws
0
Don Benito wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
58%
33%
Attack
50%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Ciudad de Lucena
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Don Benito
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Ciudad de Lucena | Don Benito | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Ciudad de Lucena
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Don Benito
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Ciudad de Lucena |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 |
Don Benito |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ciudad de Lucena face Don Benito in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4. Ciudad de Lucena have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.25 points per game). Don Benito have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Ciudad de Lucena, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Don Benito. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
