Liga 3 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Fafe
Home
2-2
Full time
Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Trofense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
5%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fafe wins
0
Draws
0
Trofense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Fafe
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Trofense
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fafe | Trofense | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Fafe
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Trofense
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fafe face Trofense in Liga 3. Fafe have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Trofense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 93% probability backing Fafe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fafe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Fafe, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Trofense. Our top recommended betting pick is Fafe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe as part of the Liga 3.
